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Home > Wen Yuan (Middle School Edition) > 2019 No.12 > 基于乘积ARIMA模型的社会消费品零售总额分析

  • 基于乘积ARIMA模型的社会消费品零售总额分析

    Author(s)：

    龚 超1 岳庆玲1 吴孟娇2

    Publication Title：

    Wen Yuan (Middle School Edition) 2019 No.12

    Affiliations：

    1.河南科技学院；2.新乡市一中 河南 新乡 453003

    Abstract：

    社会消费品零售总额是反映各行业通过多种商品流通渠道向居民和社会集团供应的生活消费品总量，反映经济景气程度的重要指标。本文主要通过对1993-2011年月度社会消费品零售总额进行分析、建模和2012年社会消费品零售总额的预测，说明选取的乘积ARIMA模型拟合效果良好，利用该模型对社会消费品零售总额做出的预测再短期内具有较高的准确性和有效性。

    Keywords：

    社会消费品零售总额；乘积ARIMA模型；预测

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    [1] 龚,超1,岳庆玲1,吴孟娇2.基于乘积ARIMA模型的社会消费品零售总额分析[J].Wen Yuan (Middle School Edition),2019(12),.

文渊(中学版)
Wen Yuan (Middle School Edition)

Language: 中文

CN：11-9275/G

ISSN：2096-627X

Publication Frequency: 月刊

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